19 January 2016

Notes - risks / Merlyn


1058 hours. I found this interesting article online this morning.

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BBC: Science & Environment

Hawking: Humans at risk of lethal 'own goal'

David Shukman
Science editor
19 January 2016

Humanity is at risk from a series of dangers of our own making, according to Prof Stephen Hawking.

Nuclear war, global warming and genetically-engineered viruses are among the scenarios he singles out.

And he says that further progress in science and technology will create "new ways things can go wrong".

Prof Hawking is giving this year's BBC Reith Lectures, which explore research into black holes, and his warning came in answer to audience questions.

He says that assuming humanity eventually establishes colonies on other worlds, it will be able to survive.

"Although the chance of a disaster to planet Earth in a given year may be quite low, it adds up over time, and becomes a near certainty in the next thousand or ten thousand years.

"By that time we should have spread out into space, and to other stars, so a disaster on Earth would not mean the end of the human race.

"However, we will not establish self-sustaining colonies in space for at least the next hundred years, so we have to be very careful in this period." 
. . .

iWonder: A brief history of Stephen Hawking

It is ironic that such a prominent figure in science identifies scientific progress itself as the major source of new threats.

On previous occasions, he has highlighted the potential risks of artificial intelligence (AI) becoming powerful enough to cause the extinction of the human race.

But he insists that ways will be found to cope.

"We are not going to stop making progress, or reverse it, so we have to recognise the dangers and control them. I'm an optimist, and I believe we can."

Asked for advice for young scientists, Prof Hawking said they should retain a sense of wonder about "our vast and complex" Universe.

"From my own perspective, it has been a glorious time to be alive and doing research in theoretical physics. There is nothing like the Eureka moment of discovering something that no one knew before."

But he also said that future generations of researchers should be aware of how scientific and technological progress is changing the world, and to help the wider public understand it.
"It's important to ensure that these changes are heading in the right directions. In a democratic society, this means that everyone needs to have a basic understanding of science to make informed decisions about the future.

"So communicate plainly what you are trying to do in science, and who knows, you might even end up understanding it yourself."

Since his diagnosis with motor neurone disease, Prof Hawking's determination to overcome the immense physical challenges of his disability has been a source of worldwide admiration and fascination.

His daughter Lucy, a journalist and writer, who has co-written children's science books with Prof Hawking, was asked to explain his drive.

"I think he's enormously stubborn and has a very enviable wish to keep going and the ability to summon all his reserves, all his energy, all his mental focus and press them all into that goal of keeping going," she said.

"But not just to keep going for the purposes of survival, but to transcend this by producing extraordinary work, writing books, giving lectures, inspiring other people with neurodegenerative and other disabilities, and being a family man, a friend and a colleague to so many people and keeping up with friends across the world."

Selected and edited from -- http://www.bbcDOTcom/news/science-environment-35344664

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       1100 hours. Stephen Hawking gives us a hundred years to keep ourselves safe. He estimates that between a thousand years and ten thousand years there is a chance of a terrible calamity caused through us or through nature; however, once we have colonies off the planet our species’ survival chances are better. I am pleased there are people in the world who look ahead at least one hundred years though a thousand is better for perspective. This way we are thinking beyond our own limelight.

       Thinking beyond your own limelight is not beyond you, boy. This was the intent of my comment: “Your books are one thing; the world is another.” Post. – Amorella

       1113 hours. This article then serves as reinforcement.

       It appears so, does it not? - Amorella

        2305 hours. The article does serve as a reinforcement to somehow make the Merlyn books more relevant to the real world. The books (the stories) have timelessness and long perspectives, far into the Past, Present and into a Future as well as the act of being Dead. Merlyn is the ingrained, the singular character, who has the dreams. He is really the only character. However, a great weakness here is that he is a shaman. This modern world has little need of shamans. See modern definition below.

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shaman - noun (pl. shamans)

a person regarded as having access to, and influence in, the world of good and evil spirits, especially among some peoples of northern Asia and North America. Typically such people enter a trance state during a ritual, and practice divination and healing.

Selected and edited from Oxford/American software

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       2317 hours. My Merlyn was Medieval born (part truth and part fiction) and in death he has access to and influence in the world of spirits. His dream state is not during a ritual; he is beyond divination and healing. He is the contextual conduit for the storytelling. If this were modernized he would have to be, for example, the first AI self-aware piece of machinery that actually survives death, that is, he would be as a non-biological machine with a heartansoulanmind just as human beings do. Hmm. This would be an interesting story in itself . . . too bad I can’t copyright the idea. No doubt someone has already written such a scenario or will soon. – rho

       You are late for bed, boy. Post. - Amorella


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